Tuesday, December 8, 2009

EU - USD on Dec 9, 2009

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

1:45pm CHF ! Unemployment Rate
2:00pm EUR ! German Final CPI m/m
2:00pm EUR ! German Trade Balance
2:45pm EUR ! French Trade Balance
4:30pm GBP !! Trade Balance
6:00pm EUR !! Buba President Weber Speaks
7:30pm GBP !!! Annual Pre-Budget Release
8:40pm USD ! FOMC Member Duke Speaks
10:00pm USD ! Wholesale Inventories m/m
10:30pm USD !! Crude Oil Inventories

Monday, December 7, 2009

EU - USD on Dec 8, 2009

Berita melemahnya Euro tampaknya masih berlanjut sampai ke titik 1.47000

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

All Day EUR -- Italian Bank Holiday
2:45pm EUR ! French Gov Budget Balance
4:00pm GBP !!! Halifax HPI m/m
4:30pm GBP !!! Manufacturing Production m/m
4:30am GBP ! Industrial Production m/m
6:00am EUR !! German Industrial Production m/m
6:00am GBP !! CBI Industrial Order Expectations
Tentative GBP !! NIESR GDP Estimate
10:00pm USD ! IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
7:01am GBP !! Nationwide Consumer Confidence
Tentative GBP ! BRC Shop Price Index y/y

Sunday, December 6, 2009

EU - USD on Dec 7, 2009

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

3:00pm EUR !! ECB President Trichet Speaks
3:15pm CHF !!! Retail Sales y/y
7th-8th GBP !!! Halifax HPI m/m
4:30pm EUR ! Sentix Investor Confidence
6:00pm EUR !! German Factory Orders m/m
8:00pm EUR !!! ECB President Trichet Speaks
on Dec 8, 2009
12:00am USD !!! Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
3:00am USD ! Consumer Credit m/m
5:45am USD ! FOMC Member Dudley Speaks
7:01am GBP !! BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

EU -USD on Dec 03, 2009

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

4:00pm EUR ! Final Services PMI
4:30pm GBP !!! Services PMI
5:00pm EUR !! Retail Sales m/m
5:00pm EUR ! Revised GDP q/q
7:45pm EUR !!! Minimum Bid Rate
8:30pm EUR !!! ECB Press Conference
8:30pm USD !!! Unemployment Claims
8:30pm USD !! Revised Nonfarm Productivity q/q
8:30pm USD ! Revised Unit Labor Costs q/q
10:00pm EUR !! Buba President Weber Speaks
10:00pm USD !!! Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies
10:00pm USD !!! ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
10:30pm USD ! Natural Gas Storage

(see comment for update)

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

EU - USD on Dec 2, 2009

Berita fundamental hari ini:

3:20am GBP !! MPC Member Dale Speaks
4:30am GBP !! Construction PMI
5:00am EUR ! PPI m/m
7:30am USD ! Challenger Job Cuts y/y
8:15am USD !!! ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
10:30am USD !! Crude Oil Inventories
1:15pm USD !! FOMC Member Lacker Speaks
2:00pm USD !! Beige Book

(pls see comment for update)

Monday, November 30, 2009

EU - USD on Dec 1, 2009

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

1:45pm CHF !! GDP q/q
2:00pm EUR !! German Retail Sales m/m
2:00pm GBP !!! Nationwide HPI m/m
3:30pm CHF !! SVME PMI
3:55pm EUR !! German Unemployment Change
4:00pm EUR ! Final Manufacturing PMI
4:30pm GBP !!! Manufacturing PMI
5:00pm EUR !! Unemployment Rate
9:30pm GBP !! MPC Member Posen Speaks
10:00pm USD !!! ISM Manufacturing PMI
10:00pm USD !!! Pending Home Sales m/m
10:00pm USD ! Construction Spending m/m
10:00pm USD ! ISM Manufacturing Prices
All Day USD ! Total Vehicle Sales

Sunday, November 29, 2009

EU - USD on Nov 30, 2009

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

4:30pm GBP !! Net Lending to Individuals m/m 0.8B 0.6B
4:30pm GBP ! Mortgage Approvals 59K 56K
5:00pm EUR !! CPI Flash Estimate y/y 0.5% -0.1%
5:00pm EUR ! Italian Prelim CPI m/m
9:45pm USD !! Chicago PMI

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 26, 2009

Bank holiday di US

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

All Day EUR !! German Prelim CPI m/m
4:00pm EUR !! M3 Money Supply y/y
4:00pm EUR ! Private Loans y/y
5:15pm EUR !! Buba President Weber Speaks
6:00pm GBP !!! CBI Realized Sales
12:00am EUR !! Buba President Weber Speaks

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 25, 2009

Bullish attempts may test the region of 1.4950/60+ before taking on strong line 1.5000.

Bearish crusades may test 1.4910+ before targeting 1.4865+

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

2:00pm EUR !! GfK German Consumer Climate
4:00pm EUR ! Italian Retail Sales m/m
4:30pm GBP !!! Revised GDP q/q
4:30pm GBP ! Index of Services 3m/3m
8:30pm USD !!! Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
8:30pm USD !!! Unemployment Claims
8:30pm USD !! Core PCE Price Index m/m
8:30pm USD !! Durable Goods Orders m/m
8:30pm USD !!!Personal Spending m/m
8:30pm USD ! Personal Income m/m
9:55pm USD !! Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
9:55pm USD ! Revised UoM Inflation Expectations
10:00pm USD !!!New Home Sales
10:30pm USD !! Crude Oil Inventories
12:00am USD ! Natural Gas Storage

Monday, November 23, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 24, 2009

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

2:00pm CHF !! UBS Consumption Indicator
2:00pm EUR ! German Final GDP q/q
2:50pm EUR !! French Consumer Spending m/m
3:15pm CHF !! Employment Level
4:00pm EUR !!! German Ifo Business Climate
4:30pm GBP !! BBA Mortgage Approvals
4:30pm GBP !! Prelim Business Investment q/q
4:45pm GBP !!! Inflation Report Hearings
5:00pm EUR !! Industrial New Orders m/m
8:30pm USD !!! Prelim GDP q/q
8:30pm USD ! Prelim GDP Price Index q/q
9:00pm EUR !! Belgium NBB Business Climate
9:00pm USD !! S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y
10:00pm USD !!! CB Consumer Confidence
10:00pm USD ! HPI m/m
10:00pm USD ! Richmond Manufacturing Index
10:35pm GBP !! BOE Gov King Speaks
on Nov 25, 2009
12:30am CHF !! SNB Chairman Roth Speaks
2:00am USD !!! FOMC Meeting Minutes

Sunday, November 22, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 23, 2009

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

3:00pm EUR !! French Flash Manufacturing PMI
3:00pm EUR !! French Flash Services PMI
3:30pm EUR !! German Flash Manufacturing PMI
3:30pm EUR !! German Flash Services PMI
4:00pm EUR !! Flash Manufacturing PMI
4:00pm EUR !! Flash Services PMI
8:00pm EUR !! ECB President Trichet Speaks
10:00pm USD !!! Existing Home Sales

Thursday, November 19, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 20, 2009

Bagaimana trading hari ini???.
Tidak ada yang bisa memprediksikan pergerakan hari ini. Hanya sekedar catatan bahwa bullish akan mencapai titik 1.490 dan bearish sampai titik 1.4800.

Hati - hati dengan momentum hari ini:
- Pidato ECB President Mr. Trichet pukul 05.30
- Sekarang hari Jum'at, banyaknya yang akan ambil aksi untung

Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

2:00pm EUR !!! German PPI m/m
3:00pm EUR !! Buba President Weber Speaks
4:15pm CHF !! SNB Chairman Roth Speaks
5:30pm EUR !! ECB President Trichet Speaks

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 19, 2009

Pada hari ini USD akan mengalami konsolidasi terhadap Euro dengan skenario EU akan bearish 1.4910, jika terlampaui target 1.4860.
Namun harus diperhatikan bahwa secara jangka panjang skenario bullish EU masih berpotensi dengan alasan - alasan sebagai berikut:
- Harga emas terus melambung mencapai rekor tertinggi $ 1150. Seperti yang diketahui harga emas selalu berbanding terbalik dengan USD.
- The Fed merilis bahwa tingkat suku bunga tidak akan dinaikkan hingga awal 2012.
- Unemployment Claim akan dirilis 8.30 hari ini.
- Turunnya ekspor Amerika yang baru-baru ini diumumkan oleh Presiden Barack Obama. Pernyataan ini diprediksi akan berdampak negatif bagi USD.


Berita fundamental hari ini (dalam BBWI):

2:15pm CHF !! Trade Balance
4:00pm EUR ! Italian Trade Balance
4:20pm GBP !! MPC Member Fisher Speaks
4:30pm GBP !!! Retail Sales m/m
4:30pm GBP !! Public Sector Net Borrowing
4:30pm GBP ! Prelim M4 Money Supply m/m
8:30pm USD !!! Unemployment Claims
10:00pm USD !! Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
10:00pm USD ! CB Leading Index m/m
10:00pm USD ! Treasury Sec Geithner Speaks
10:30pm USD ! Natural Gas Storage
11:00pm EUR !! ECB President Trichet Speaks

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 18, 2009

Bagaimana hari ini??? setelah EU turun sampai 1.4808, sebuah rekor dalam titik terendah dalam 2 minggu ini.
Secara teknikal EU akan mengalami konsolidasi, dengan kata lain akan menguat. Namun masih menunggu pidato Presiden ECB, Mr Trichet. Walaupun dampaknya diperkirakan tidak sedahsyat Presiden Fed, namun tetap signifikan.
Perkiraan EU mengalami bullish sampai pada titik 1.4950 (namun belum sampai pada titik 1.5000), jika bearish akan menyentuh titik 1.4800.

happy trading !!! semoga untung

Berita fundamental (dalam BBWI):

3:40pm EUR !! ECB President Trichet Speaks
4:00pm EUR !! Current Account
4:30pm GBP !!! MPC Meeting Minutes
6:00pm GBP !! CBI Industrial Order Expectations
8:30pm USD !!! Building Permits
8:30pm USD !!! Core CPI m/m
8:30pm USD !! CPI m/m
8:30pm USD !! Housing Starts
10:30pm USD !! Crude Oil Inventories

Monday, November 16, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 17, 2009

Berita fundamental (dalam BBWI)

3:15pm CHF !!! Retail Sales y/y
4:30pm GBP !!! CPI y/y
4:30pm GBP !! RPI y/y
4:30pm GBP ! Core CPI y/y
5:00pm EUR ! Trade Balance
Tentative CHF !!! SNB Chairman Roth Speaks
Tentative GBP !!! BOE Inflation Letter
5:30pm USD !! FOMC Member Yellen Speaks
8:30pm USD !!! PPI m/m
8:30pm USD !! Core PPI m/m
9:00pm USD !!! TIC Long-Term Purchases
9:15pm USD !! Capacity Utilization Rate
9:15pm USD !! Industrial Production m/m
10:15pm USD !! FOMC Member Lacker Speaks
on Nov 18, 2009
1:00am USD ! NAHB Housing Market Index

Sunday, November 15, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 16, 2009

Hari senin ini sepertinya pergerakan akan langsung panas.
Berita ekonomi hari ini merilis bahwa bank failure di US sudah mencapai 123 yang disebabkan krisis ekonomi yang berkepanjangan.
Bagi investor tentunya terlalu beresiko dan berpikir ulang untuk berinvestasi dalam kondisi ekonomi seperti ini, jika terjadi maka permintaan USD akan semakin berkurang bagi pebisnis.

Berita fundamental (dalam BBWI):

3:15pm GBP !! MPC Member Tucker Speaks
3:50pm EUR !! Buba President Weber Speaks
5:00pm EUR !! CPI y/y
5:00pm EUR !! Core CPI y/y
8:30pm USD !!! Core Retail Sales m/m
8:30pm USD !!! Retail Sales m/m
8:30pm USD !! Empire State Manufacturing Index
10:00pm USD !! Business Inventories m/m
On Nov 17, 2009
12:15am USD !!! Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks
1:00am GBP !! MPC Member Sentance Speaks
6:15am USD !! FOMC Member Kohn Speaks

Thursday, November 12, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 13, 2009

Dollar konsolidasi terhadap Euro


EUR/USD bertahan di bawah 1.4850 setelah menyentuh 1.4819.
Saat ini agaknya Euro mengalami recovery setelah berada pada level yang sama saat pembukaan.

Berita fundamental hari ini:

2:00pm EUR !!!German Prelim GDP q/q
2:45pm EUR !! French Prelim Non-Farm Payrolls q/q
2:45pm EUR ! French CPI m/m
2:50pm EUR ! French Prelim GDP q/q 0.6% 0.3%
3:15pm CHF !! PPI m/m
4:00pm EUR ! Italian Prelim GDP q/q 0.8% -0.5%
5:00pm EUR !! Flash GDP q/q
8:15pm EUR !! Buba President Weber Speaks
8:30pm USD !!!Trade Balance
8:30pm USD !! Import Prices m/m
9:55pm USD !! Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
9:55pm USD ! Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
10:30pm USD ! Natural Gas Storage
11:30pm USD !! FOMC Member Evans Speaks

Wednesday, November 11, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 12, 2009

Karena kerusakan pada komputer dan lain hal, kemarin tanggal 11/ 11/ 2009 tidak bisa posting. Untuk itu kami mohon dimaklumi. Terima kasih.

Berita fundamental hari ini:

4:00pm EUR !! ECB Monthly Bulletin
5:00pm CHF !! ZEW Economic Expectations
5:00pm EUR !! Industrial Production m/m
8:30pm USD !!! Unemployment Claims
11:00pm USD !! Crude Oil Inventories
11:30pm USD !! Treasury Sec Geithner Speaks
12:00am CHF !! Gov Board Member Jordan Speaks
2:00am EUR !! ECB President Trichet Speaks
2:00am USD !! Federal Budget Balance
Tentative GBP ! BOE Financial Stability Report

Monday, November 9, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 10, 2009

Berita Fundamental (dalam BBWI):

2:00pm EUR ! German Final CPI m/m
2:00pm EUR ! German WPI m/m
2:45pm EUR !! French Industrial Production m/m
4:00pm EUR ! Italian Industrial Production m/m
4:30pm GBP !! Trade Balance
4:30pm GBP ! DCLG HPI y/y
5:00pm EUR !!! German ZEW Economic Sentiment
5:00pm EUR !! ZEW Economic Sentiment
5:00pm GBP ! CB Leading Index m/m
9:15pm USD !! FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks
10:00pm USD ! IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
10:05pm USD !! FOMC Member Yellen Speaks
Tentative USD ! Loan Officer Survey

Sunday, November 8, 2009

EU-USD on Nov 09, 2009

Secara teknis, walaupun angka NFP dan unemployment rate tidak seperti yang diharapkan, tidak cukup kuat untuk mendorong pair EU-USD ke trend yang lebih rendah. Dengan kata lain Euro masih cenderung lebih kuat dari pada USD dan makin menunjukkan indikasi bullish pair EU-USD ke titik 1.5060 bahkan 1.5300.

happy trading!! semoga untung

Berita Fundamental (dalam BBWI)

2:00pm EUR ! German Trade Balance
4:30pm EUR ! Sentix Investor Confidence
6:00pm EUR !! German Industrial Production m/m
on Nov 10, 2009
7:00am USD ! FOMC Member Tarullo Speaks
7:01am GBP !! BRC Retail Sales Monitor yy
7:01am GBP !! RICS House Price Balance